16 Sep 2024

MO Briefing

16 Sep 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Early Contraction

1 session

First session of contractionary alignment. Persistence not yet confirmed.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 554 instruments

31%
38%
13%
15%
Long Buildup 173Short Buildup 209Long Unwind 71Short Cover 81Neutral 20

Structural lean: -0.047(254 expansionary, 280 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.79x

below baseline

Divergence

0.96x

below baseline

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.79x). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.96x)

Range Compression

Futures

0.77x

below baseline · 2 contracts

Equities

0.91x

below baseline · 1845 contracts

Compressed ranges (0.77x baseline)

Recent Path

Early Contraction06
Fragmented Expansion09
Fragmented Expansion10
Early Contraction11
Early Expansion12
Fragmented Expansion13
Early Contraction16

Structural Activity

Active
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence normal

Transitioned from Fragmented Expansion

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.