12 Sep 2024

MO Briefing

12 Sep 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Early Expansion

1 session

First session of expansionary alignment. Persistence not yet confirmed.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 554 instruments

49%
37%
Long Buildup 272Short Buildup 36Long Unwind 8Short Cover 207Neutral 31

Structural lean: +0.785(479 expansionary, 44 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.69x

below baseline

Divergence

0.27x

below baseline

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.69x). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.27x)

Range Compression

Futures

0.94x

below baseline · 2 contracts

Equities

0.82x

below baseline · 1838 contracts

Compressed ranges (0.94x baseline)

Recent Path

Early Contraction04
Fragmented Expansion05
Early Contraction06
Fragmented Expansion09
Fragmented Expansion10
Early Contraction11
Early Expansion12

Structural Activity

Active
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence normal

Transitioned from Early Contraction

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.