02 Sep 2024

MO Briefing

02 Sep 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Fragmented Contraction

1 session

Contractionary lean but instruments disagreeing. Surface alignment masks internal divergence.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 554 instruments

30%
47%
Long Buildup 168Short Buildup 261Long Unwind 45Short Cover 51Neutral 29

Structural lean: -0.157(219 expansionary, 306 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.72x

below baseline

Divergence

1.79x

elevated

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.72x). Instrument divergence elevated (1.79x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

1.68x

elevated · 2 contracts

Equities

0.87x

below baseline · 1864 contracts

Expanded ranges (1.68x baseline)

Recent Path

Contraction Under Stress23
Expansion Under Stress26
Expansion Under Stress27
Contraction Under Stress28
Fragmented Expansion29
Fragmented Expansion30
Fragmented Contraction02

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence elevated

Transitioned from Fragmented Expansion

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.