07 Aug 2024

MO Briefing

07 Aug 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Early Expansion

1 session

First session of expansionary alignment. Persistence not yet confirmed.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 556 instruments

54%
31%
Long Buildup 298Short Buildup 41Long Unwind 9Short Cover 170Neutral 38

Structural lean: +0.752(468 expansionary, 50 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.85x

below baseline

Divergence

0.49x

below baseline

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.85x). Instrument divergence below baseline (0.49x)

Range Compression

Futures

0.65x

below baseline · 1 contracts

Equities

0.85x

below baseline · 1921 contracts

Deeply compressed ranges (0.65x baseline)

Recent Path

Coordinated Expansion30
Coordinated Expansion31
Early Contraction01
Fragmented Contraction02
Coordinated Contraction05
Coordinated Contraction06
Early Expansion07

Structural Activity

Active
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence normal

Transitioned from Coordinated Contraction

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.