02 Aug 2024

MO Briefing

02 Aug 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Fragmented Contraction

1 session

Contractionary lean but instruments disagreeing. Surface alignment masks internal divergence.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 556 instruments

12%
60%
19%
Long Buildup 68Short Buildup 336Long Unwind 105Short Cover 29Neutral 18

Structural lean: -0.619(97 expansionary, 441 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.78x

below baseline

Divergence

1.07x

elevated

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.78x). Instrument divergence elevated (1.07x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

1.53x

elevated · 1 contracts

Equities

0.86x

below baseline · 1912 contracts

Expanded ranges (1.53x baseline)

Recent Path

Fragmented Contraction25
Early Expansion26
Fragmented Expansion29
Coordinated Expansion30
Coordinated Expansion31
Early Contraction01
Fragmented Contraction02

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence elevated

Transitioned from Early Contraction

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.