25 Jul 2024

MO Briefing

25 Jul 2024 · NSE Derivatives Structure

coherentstressedexpansioncontraction

Posture

Fragmented Contraction

1 session

Contractionary lean but instruments disagreeing. Surface alignment masks internal divergence.

How to read this

The compass maps the structural posture of the derivatives market. The horizontal axis shows expansion vs contraction. The vertical axis shows coherence vs stress.

The dot marks today's position. The trail shows the past 7 sessions. The posture label describes what the structure is — not where it's going.

Depth panels below show the underlying measurements: positioning breadth, basis stress, range compression, and structural activity.

Depth

Positioning — 375 instruments

43%
54%
Long Buildup 163Short Buildup 203Long Unwind 4Short Cover 4Neutral 1

Structural lean: -0.107(167 expansionary, 207 contractionary)

Basis Stress

Flip stress

0.59x

below baseline

Divergence

1.62x

elevated

Basis flip stress below baseline (0.59x). Instrument divergence elevated (1.62x baseline)

Range Compression

Futures

--

Equities

0.83x

below baseline · 1910 contracts

No surface data available

Recent Path

Contraction Under Stress16
Contraction Under Stress18
Contraction Under Stress19
Expansion Under Stress22
Contraction Under Stress23
Expansion Under Stress24
Fragmented Contraction25

Structural Activity

Elevated
posture changed|flip stress normal|divergence elevated

Transitioned from Expansion Under Stress

Next MO Briefing: Monday 08:30 IST

MarketObservatory describes the structural condition of the market. It does not predict price direction.